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Eight reasons Obama will win in 2012


Relax, liberals. He’ll be back.

By Edward McClelland

Obama is contrasting his American Jobs Act, which includes giving tax credits to employers who hire veterans, against a “do-nothing Congress.”

Photo: Associated Press/Charles Dharapak

It’s midnight, November 6, 2012. You and 100,000 other Chicagoans are in Grant Park, waiting, praying, for the President of the United States to step out onto the stage and once again shout, “Hello, Chicago!” The crowd is tensely silent, like a courtroom in the seconds before the verdict is read. On the Diamond Vision screen, CNN’s Wolf Blitzer points at a map where Ohio, Florida and Virginia are colored gray: still too close to call. If Obama wins any one of those states, he will be President for another four years. If he loses them all, the man who was once the nation’s greatest hope for change will be a one-term failure, rejected by the American people. At a quarter past the hour, Blitzer makes an announcement: “We have a major call…”

You can exhale. While Grant Park will never experience another election night as thrilling as 2008, you won’t ride home on the quietest El train of your life, either. Despite the assertion of many election prognosticators that the POTUS is likely heading toward a one-term presidency, Time Out Chicago is here to calm your nerves. Obama will win. Here’s why.

Comments (16)
November 23, 2011
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You forgot the most important reason: The Chicago political machine does not lose elections. The fix is already in, Obama 2012!
By Dennis (not verified) on 11/23/2011 at 1:45 pm
Didn't George H. W. Bush also lose?
By Anonymous (not verified) on 11/23/2011 at 1:55 pm
What about George H.W. Bush? Another one term president since 1900.
By Anonymous (not verified) on 11/23/2011 at 3:47 pm
"More important for Obama, a President seeking a second consecutive term for his party has lost only once since 1900. That was Jimmy Carter." Make that twice. George H.W. Bush ran for re-election in 1992.
By Anonymous (not verified) on 11/23/2011 at 5:40 pm
Carter wasn't the only incumbent to lose a bid for a second consecutive term. Bush lost in 1992.
By Ethan (not verified) on 11/23/2011 at 5:47 pm
The qualifier was a second consecutive term FOR HIS PARTY. Bush was seeking a fourth straight term for the Republicans, as was Herbert Hoover in 1932.
By Ted McClelland (not verified) on 11/23/2011 at 8:31 pm
Hahaha - great artwork! G'Obama!
By Sandy (not verified) on 11/23/2011 at 9:13 pm
As several others have noted, but which Ted McClelland has disputed, George H.W. Bush also lost his re-election bid. I hope that's the only flaw in this piece...
By Holger Meerbote (not verified) on 11/24/2011 at 5:24 am
Great list! Just a few points to add the dialogue: 1) the GOP will say it "has a plan" and point to the WI rep, Paul Ryan's "brilliant" budget. But they do themselves more damage than good with that one, because it points to the whole 1% problem for the GOP (ie. they are really all about helping the rich get richer so they can "trickle down" some pennies on the rest of us). 2) The foreign policy message might be secondary to the economic one in terms of air time, BUT, in reality a Prez has much more freedom in that arena than in domestic policies that require working with the congress. So we see Obama's style of governing there best. And finally, 3) demographics may be the king maker in this instance, but don't underestimate the power of the visceral dislike many of those "small town, white, suburban, etc." voters have for everything Obama represents, including the very demographic changes that helped put him in the White House in the first place--especially the growing Latino vote! Those Americans, who tend towards the monocultural, have a serious suspicion of all things "diverse" --the Spanish-speakers among them. There are many white folks who are not college educated and are hurting bad--with no relief in sight. They are looking for who to blame; but having no college education puts them at a disadvantage for being able to do the critical thinking necessary to figure it all out for themselves, so they are susceptible to oversimplified and convenient arguments. I can only hope they will wake up to the fact that Obama may not look like them, but unlike the republicans the Dems take them into consideration when thinking about what role government has to play in our lives. The GOP has clearly sided with the idea that "if you don't have a job, blame yourself." And when Mitt's policies as a CEO start coming into the light, they may see he's no beacon of hope for them, as he is the poster child for the neo-liberal/globalization, it's-every-man-for-himself, thinking. Anyway, on Thanksgiving day, thanks for giving me something to think about!
By laprofe63 (not verified) on 11/24/2011 at 10:29 am
I agree with the Bush comments, did the author miss that? & yes, Obama will probably be re-elected but not for the reasons mentioned. The primary & really only reason Obama will be re-elected: he has NO competition. Unfortunately there are no independent, bipartisan opponents & the Republicans are going to have to settle for the runner up (by a large margin) from four years ago. It is sad to say but this will be America's loss, not Obama's win.
By James (not verified) on 11/26/2011 at 10:16 am
Must I repeat, that was not a mistake. Look at the list of presidents seeking a second consecutive term for their parties in the 20th Century. Only Carter lost. In 1992, Bush was seeking a FOURTH consecutive term for his party.
By Ted McClelland (not verified) on 11/26/2011 at 6:05 pm
While I do believe Obama will win this election, and do agree Congress is totally screwing America by neither the Republican House or Democratic Senate agreeing to compromise on anything. Neither parties solutions will solve the current economy problems because the only way the economy can be fixed is for people to stop living beyond their means, cutting of all non essential government programs, eliminating duplicate programs in the Federal and State governments, enforce our immigration laws to everyone and not allowing exceptions due to the color of one's skin, instituting a flat tax that will make everyone pay the same percent on every dollar earned, thus making the rich pay more, the poor less and the middle class a medium amount, while staying fair. Building of a security fence along the southern border, stop bailing out companies that fail, allow no corporate tax cuts and they must raise taxes moderately. Without all of these being instituted, the USA is screwed.
By Boyee (not verified) on 11/27/2011 at 11:47 pm
Anyone who thinks there is an objective television news network is delusional. MSNBC is far left Fox News Channel is far right CNN is moderate left.
By Boyee (not verified) on 11/27/2011 at 11:50 pm
One major issue with all presidential elections is that it isn't just the citizens that are voting. I, a citizen, wasn't even asked for an ID when I voted in the last presidential election. This is a problem that needs to be fixed before the next election as it is illegal for a non-citizen to vote.
By Boyee (not verified) on 11/27/2011 at 11:54 pm
Obama is going to get absolutely crushed next year. He's completely separating this country by the haves and have-nots, and I think it's a shame. He brings absolutely nothing to the table in terms of real world work experience, nor has he even been in a position of leadership prior to his election. He lives in an idealistic world that exists only in academia where everyone gets everything without earning it. He speaks well, but what he says contains absolutely no substance. This country is in a real mess, and we need to clean house on both sides of the aisle, but we need to start with BO.
By Mark (not verified) on 11/30/2011 at 7:40 am
@Mark "He lives in an idealistic world that exists only in academia where everyone gets everything without earning it." I beg your pardon? Please clarify. What does that idealistic world look like? And, nothing in academia is given that hasn't been earned. Or, are you saying that you have a college degree that you didn't earn?
By Lisa (not verified) on 12/09/2011 at 3:18 pm
Have an Opinion? Let's hear it